Political Economy of Green Jobs

This political economy analysis asks why Nigeria’s ambitious green-jobs agenda has not yet translated into employment at scale, and what it would take politically to change that. It looks past the technical case for the transition to the incentives, institutions and power relations that actually govern whether policy is designed, funded and delivered. Its central finding is that the binding constraints are political and institutional rather than technical: a hydrocarbon-based political economy that rewards the protection of oil rents, an institutional landscape crowded with overlapping mandates and weak coordination, and a set of governance risks, from rent-seeking in procurement to the short horizons of the electoral cycle, that quietly shape which programmes get built and who benefits.